A depleted EU gas storage position heading into winter sustains high energy costs that hollow out Germany's already-strained industrial northeast, translating economic grievance into an AfD electoral breakthrough in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern.
// Cascade Logic
Low gas storage → elevated winter energy prices → deeper German industrial/cost-of-living strain → protest-vote channel to AfD
// Causal Graph
// Causal Links
enablesstrength: 42%shift: 22%
Sub-target gas storage locks in elevated winter energy costs that compound industrial decline and household strain in Germany's northeast, feeding the economic-grievance channel that boosts AfD's vote share.