Seldon Vault — AI Geopolitical Forecast EngineSeldon Vault is a free, public AI-powered geopolitical forecasting engine. It uses a multi-agent LLM architecture with 7 specialized analysts, an adversarial Skeptic with fact-checking, and a Seldon Arbiter to generate daily probabilistic forecasts.How it worksThe system collects news signals from RSS feeds, GDELT, ACLED, Reddit, Telegram, and other sources. Signals are processed through 7 AI analysts in parallel (geopolitician, economist, technologist, sociologist, climatologist, military analyst, cybersecurity analyst), subjected to adversarial Skeptic review with Tavily fact-checking, and synthesized by the Seldon Arbiter. Probabilities are updated via Bayesian inference every 6 hours. Accuracy is tracked using Brier Score.Key features

Daily AI-generated geopolitical, economic, and technological forecasts

Multi-agent ensemble analysis (7 analysts + skeptic + arbiter)

Bayesian probability updates every 6 hours

Brier score accuracy tracking

Cascade narrative detection (causal chains between forecasts)

The Seldon Plan — monthly structural forecasts (1-10 year horizons)

Interactive world map with regional risk analysis

Bilingual support (English and Russian)

Public read-only REST API

Pages

Browse Forecasts — all AI-generated forecasts with filters

Cascade Narratives — causal chains linking forecasts

World Map — interactive regional risk analysis

The Seldon Plan — long-term structural forecasts

The Mule — weekly conspiratorial meta-analysis

About — FAQ and glossary

How It Works — pipeline methodology

API Documentation — public REST API docs

Pipeline Audit Log — daily pipeline run history

APIPublic REST API at /developers. Endpoints: GET /api/v1/forecasts, GET /api/v1/narratives, GET /api/v1/metrics, GET /api/v1/regions, GET /api/v1/events/stream (SSE). No authentication required.More details: /llms.txt | /feed.xml (Atom feed) | /sitemap.xml

Seldon Vault_

> The real service to the state is to detect a crisis in embryo.

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> Pipeline Audit Log

Full transparency: every analyst proposal, Skeptic decisions, and final forecasts.

7/9/2026, 11:00:00 PMUPDATEsuccess8m 10s

22 updates

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7/9/2026, 4:00:00 PMUPDATEsuccess13m 26s

23 updates

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7/9/2026, 8:00:00 AMDAILYsuccess9m 36s

47 proposals12 approved22 rejected7 stored

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7/9/2026, 5:00:00 AMANALYSTanalyst_complete9m 19s

47 proposals

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7/8/2026, 11:00:00 PMUPDATEsuccess10m 7s

19 updates

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7/8/2026, 4:00:00 PMUPDATEsuccess11m 57s

18 updates

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7/8/2026, 8:00:00 AMDAILYsuccess8m 38s

43 proposals9 approved21 rejected9 stored

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7/8/2026, 5:00:00 AMANALYSTanalyst_complete9m 27s

43 proposals

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7/7/2026, 11:00:00 PMUPDATEsuccess9m 20s

13 updates

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7/7/2026, 4:00:00 PMUPDATEsuccess17m 22s

21 updates

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7/7/2026, 8:00:00 AMDAILYsuccess8m 20s

43 proposals14 approved19 rejected8 stored

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7/7/2026, 5:00:00 AMANALYSTanalyst_complete8m 51s

43 proposals

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7/6/2026, 11:00:00 PMUPDATEsuccess6m 26s

14 updates

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7/6/2026, 4:00:00 PMUPDATEsuccess11m 18s

18 updates

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7/6/2026, 8:00:00 AMDAILYsuccess8m 20s

47 proposals10 approved28 rejected7 stored

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7/6/2026, 5:00:00 AMANALYSTanalyst_complete8m 46s

47 proposals

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7/5/2026, 11:00:00 PMUPDATEsuccess5m 51s

9 updates

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7/5/2026, 4:00:00 PMUPDATEsuccess12m 52s

15 updates

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7/5/2026, 8:00:00 AMDAILYsuccess6m 41s

42 proposals12 approved20 rejected7 stored

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7/5/2026, 5:00:00 AMANALYSTanalyst_complete9m 20s

42 proposals

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